CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.Today's key financial news reminds us (the following are all Beijing time) that ① the total amount of M2 money supply, new RMB loans and financing in China in November may be released; ② At 15: 00, Andrew Hauser, Assistant Chairman of Reserve Bank of Australia, gave a speech at ABE Annual Banquet; ③ Time to be determined: OPEC publishes monthly crude oil market report; 4 21: 30 US CPI; in November; ⑤ At 22: 45, the Bank of Canada issued a policy interest rate; ⑥ At 23: 30, us energy information administration (EIA) released the weekly report of government crude oil inventory; 7. The next day at 03:00, the U.S. government budget for November; (8) Adobe released a performance report after the US stock market closed; 9 At 05:30 the next day, the Brazilian central bank announced the Selic policy interest rate; Attending the speech of Assistant Chairman Jones of Reserve Bank of Australia at 06:15 the next day.The listing in Hong Kong heats up. Many listed companies have started the "A+H" mode, and the policy warm wind is blowing frequently. More and more A-share companies are planning to issue H shares and start the "A+H" dual-capital operation platform mode. According to incomplete statistics, at least seven A-share companies have disclosed plans to issue H-shares this year. Since December alone, Hengrui Pharma, Junsheng Electronics and other listed companies have announced plans to go public in Hong Kong. Previously, Midea Group, SF Holdings and other leading A-share companies have successfully listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Zhang Shujian, head and managing director of the capital market department of Futeng Capital, believes that the "A+H" model increases the flexibility of listing financing by building a platform for listing in two places, and at the same time introduces international long-term investors, which is conducive to optimizing the shareholder structure. In addition, since the beginning of this year, the China Securities Regulatory Commission and the Exchange have issued relevant policies to support A-share companies to go public in Hong Kong, which has driven this round of "A+H" craze. (SSE)
The Prime Minister of Qatar and the US Secretary of State discussed the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza by telephone. On December 10th, local time, the Prime Minister and Foreign Minister of Qatar talked with the US Secretary of State Blinken by telephone, focusing on the situation in Syria and the conflict in Gaza and other regional issues. The two sides stated that it is necessary to promote an inclusive political process and achieve a peaceful transfer of power in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2254. All parties in Syria should also strengthen efforts to protect civilians and fight terrorism. The two sides also exchanged views on the latest situation in the Gaza Strip and the progress of relevant negotiations.Market information: US federal judge blocked Kroger's $24.6 billion acquisition of Albertsons.The Huangmaohai Cross-sea Passage was opened to traffic today. At 15: 00 on December 11th, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's key traffic project, the Huangmaohai Cross-sea Passage, will be put into trial operation, adding another "key level" to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area's cross-river traffic network. After opening to traffic, the land transit time from Zhuhai to Jiangmen will be shortened from more than one hour to about 30 minutes.
Walgreen, a chain drug store, is in talks to sell it to private equity fund Sycamore Partners. Walgreen's intraday gains rose to 5.99% in the short term, which triggered the suspension.South Korea's unemployment rate in November was 2.7%, expected to be 2.7%, and the previous value was 2.70%.Three-way funds actively increased their positions. The liquidity of the A-share market is abundant. Since this round of market, the liquidity of the market has been abundant, and the turnover has reached a number of records. The active transaction in the A-share market is inseparable from the continuous inflow of incremental funds. The data shows that since September 24, the financing balance in the A-share market has increased by nearly 500 billion yuan, the net inflow of equity ETFs has exceeded 220 billion yuan, and the repurchase amount has exceeded 24 billion yuan. Analysts said that incremental funds may accelerate the flow into the A-share market under the expectation of positive policies and economic recovery. (CSI)
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide
12-14